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Determine the relationship between the two ideas that are connected by the missing transition. The idea before the transition is that polling in the 1992 United Kingdom election predicted a tie or a Labour Party win. The idea after the transition is that the Conservatives won a majority, shocking the country and causing pollsters to review their own methods to figure out how they had failed to predict such a result. Since the second idea is contrary to the expectations created by the first idea, the transition used is a contrast. Because choice (C) is the only contrast answer choice option, it is correct.

Incorrect choice (A), "indeed," is a continuation transition. Incorrect choice (B), "thus," is cause-and-effect transition. Choice (D)'s meaning, "by the same token," makes it a continuation transition and thus incorrect.